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Property investment viability assessment: step by step

Michael Pauker · 2026-10-14

The example in four figures
3.98%
Gross rental yield
Annual rent divided by purchase price, as in the sales particulars
3.06%
Net rental yield
after purchase costs, building charges and reserves
−€358
Cash flow before tax
per month, excluding your own reserves
−€285
after tax and reserves
per month, with taxable income of €60,000

The sales particulars give you a figure: a 4% rental yield. The bank quotes a loan payment, the tax adviser a depreciation allowance, the seller a rent. Each figure is correct in isolation. None tells you what happens to your bank balance at the end of the month.

That is precisely what an investment viability assessment establishes. It brings the purchase price, associated costs, financing, ongoing costs and tax together in a single calculation. And it shows what happens if the tenant moves out or interest rates rise.

In this guide, we work through a complete calculation for a rental flat. Using figures that have not been massaged to make the investment look better.

01What an investment viability assessment needs to do

The term is used in different ways. Valuers often mean an assessment for banks or public authorities. For you as a buyer, it means something else: your own investment calculation. It answers three questions.

  1. How much money do I need to contribute, upfront and every month?
  2. What is left before and after tax?
  3. Does the calculation still hold up if things go worse than planned?

A yield formula answers, at most, part of the first question. That is why it is not enough to base a purchase decision on.

The seven building blocks
  1. 01
    Total investment

    Purchase price plus property transfer tax, notary fees, land registry fees and, where applicable, estate agent’s fees.

  2. 02
    Financing

    Loan, interest, principal repayments, your own capital.

  3. 03
    Rental income

    Net rent excluding service charges as stated in the tenancy agreement, not a wishful figure.

  4. 04
    Costs and reserves

    Non-recoverable building charges, your own maintenance provision, lost rent.

  5. 05
    Cash flow before tax

    Rent minus costs minus loan payments.

  6. 06
    Tax

    Taxable rental income after interest and depreciation, and the impact on your income tax.

  7. 07
    Cash flow after tax and stress test

    What is left each month, and what happens with vacancy or higher interest rates.

02The example flat: total investment and financing

Take Jonas, 38, single, employed, with taxable income of €60,000 a year. He is assessing a tenanted two-room flat in Lower Saxony: 62 m², built in 1996, purchase price €215,000, no estate agent. The tenant pays €713 excluding service charges, or €11.50 per m². The name is fictitious; all figures are an illustrative calculation, not a forecast.

Step 1: The total cost of the flat
AmountShare of purchase price
Purchase price€215,000.00100%
Property transfer tax in Lower Saxony (5.0%)€10,750.005.0%
Notary and land registry fees for the purchase€2,611.881.2%
Notary and land registry fees for the land charge€1,207.330.6%
Total investment€229,569.21106.8%
Our own calculation, as at 14 October 2026. Notary and land registry fees under § 34 GNotKG, Table B; expenses estimated. Property transfer tax under Lower Saxony state law.

Jonas finances the entire purchase price through the bank and pays the associated costs of €14,569 from his own funds. The bank offers a nominal interest rate of 4.0%, fixed for ten years, with an initial principal repayment rate of 1.5%. This is within the range quoted by providers in late September 2026 for ten-year fixed-rate periods. The payment is €985.42 a month, or €11,825 a year.

You can use the purchase costs calculator to work through step 1 for your federal state.

What will your purchase cost on top of the purchase price? Enter the purchase price, federal state and land charge.

03“The 3.2% is the rental yield alone, without financing — so rent divided by purchase price?”

Aus unseren Gesprächen
„The 3.2% is the rental yield alone, without financing — so rent divided by purchase price?“

A client asked this during a consultation, and he was right. The figure in the sales particulars is almost always the gross rental yield. It leaves out purchase costs, building charges and financing.

The usual metrics are quick to calculate. They are useful for comparing properties on offer, not for making a purchase decision.

MetricFormulaJonas’s example
Purchase price multiplierPurchase price ÷ annual rent excluding service charges215,000 ÷ 8,556 = 25.1
Gross rental yieldAnnual rent excluding service charges ÷ purchase price8,556 ÷ 215,000 = 3.98%
Net rental yield(Annual rent excluding service charges − non-recoverable costs and reserves) ÷ (purchase price + purchase costs)6,981 ÷ 228,362 = 3.06%

A purchase price multiplier of 25 means that the flat costs 25 years’ rent. The net rental yield is almost one percentage point below the gross yield. This already reveals the crux of the problem. Jonas pays 4.0% interest on his loan. The flat generates a net yield of 3.06%.

Your metrics at a glance Enter the purchase price, rent and non-recoverable costs.

The calculator shows you how much the purchase price and rent affect the metrics.

Aus unseren Gesprächen
„€8,000 rent a year on an investment of €250,000 is a joke.“

That was how one prospective buyer put his objection. Purely before tax, it is justified: with this ratio of rent to price, a flat whose purchase price is fully financed does not pay for itself from rent alone. Only the full calculation shows whether it might nevertheless make sense.

04“What percentage do you assume for maintenance? That seems rather low to me.”

Aus unseren Gesprächen
„What percentage do you assume for maintenance? That seems rather low to me.“

Experienced investors in particular ask this question. It is justified. Underestimating costs makes the flat look better on paper than it really is.

For a flat in a jointly owned building, there are three categories of costs that are not borne by the tenant.

CostJonas’s assumptionPer yearSource of the figure
Management of the owners’ association€30 per month€360Owners’ association’s annual budget
Contribution to the maintenance reserve€56 per month€672Owners’ association’s annual budget
Own reserve for the flat (bathroom, flooring, kitchen)€0.50 per m² per month€372Own assumption
Allowance for lost rent2% of annual rent€171Own assumption
Total€1,575

The first two items appear in the owners’ association’s annual budget. Request it before buying and read the meeting minutes to check whether refurbishment is planned. Your own reserve covers things that break inside your flat, because the owners’ association does not pay for those. How much you allow depends on their condition. For a flat built in 1996 with an old bathroom, €0.50 per m² would be rather tight. The guide Checking owners’ meeting minutes before buying explains how to assess the reserve and upcoming works.

05“How much will I have to contribute out of my own pocket each month?”

Aus unseren Gesprächen
„How much will I have to contribute out of my own pocket each month?“

This is the most common question in our consultations. The honest answer starts with cash flow before tax, because you fund that every month; the tax refund comes later.

Step 5: Cash flow before tax (first full year)
Per yearPer month
Net rent excluding service charges€8,556.00€713.00
Non-recoverable building charges (management, reserve)−€1,032.00−€86.00
Loan payments (interest and principal)−€11,825.00−€985.42
Cash flow before tax−€4,301.00−€358.42
Own reserve and allowance for lost rent−€543.12−€45.26
Cash flow before tax including reserves−€4,844.12−€403.68
Our own calculation, as at 14 October 2026. Recoverable operating costs are paid by the tenant through service charges and are not included here.

Jonas therefore contributes around €360 a month, or just over €400 including reserves. This figure needs to fit his household budget, right from the first month. The bank checks this too, in its household affordability assessment.

When would the flat break even before tax? Working backwards, it would need rent excluding service charges of around €1,125 a month, or just over €18 per m². At this purchase price and with full purchase-price financing, that is a long way from the actual rent.

06“Is that positive before or after tax?”

Aus unseren Gesprächen
„Is that positive before or after tax?“

We hear this question constantly in consultations. In this example, the answer is: neither. Tax reduces the gap but does not close it.

The tax office takes different items into account from those affecting your bank balance. Principal repayments are not an expense; they build wealth. In contrast, Jonas can deduct depreciation (AfA), even though no money changes hands for it. For residential buildings completed after 1924, the allowance is 2% a year on the building’s share of the cost (§ 7 Abs. 4 Satz 1 Nr. 2 Buchstabe a EStG). Here, the building’s share is assumed to be 75%. Contributions to the maintenance reserve only count once the owners’ association spends the money (BFH, Urteil vom 14.01.2025, IX R 19/24).

Step 6: Taxable rental income and tax impact
Amount
Net rent excluding service charges€8,556.00
Loan interest in the first year−€8,540.21
Depreciation: 75% of €228,361.88 × 2%−€3,425.43
Management costs−€360.00
Taxable rental income−€3,769.64
Income tax without the flat (taxable income €60,000)€14,233.00
Income tax with the flat (taxable income €56,230)€12,803.00
Tax saving per year+€1,430.00
Income tax under § 32a EStG, 2026 tax schedule, single, excluding church tax. No solidarity surcharge is payable at this income level. Our own calculation, as at 14 October 2026.

The saving of €1,430 corresponds to a tax rate of around 38% on the loss. That is Jonas’s marginal tax rate within this income range, not the flat 40% or 42% used in many calculations. Those earning less save less. The rental income and tax calculator shows how tax changes in your own case.

Step 7: Cash flow after tax
Per yearPer month
Cash flow before tax including reserves−€4,844.12−€403.68
Tax saving+€1,430.00+€119.17
Cash flow after tax−€3,414.12−€284.51
Principal repaid in the first year (debt falls)+€3,284.79+€273.73
Result including principal repayments, excluding changes in value−€129.33−€10.78
Our own calculation, as at 14 October 2026. No rent increases or capital appreciation assumed. The tax saving is received only after filing the tax return or through an allowance applied to payroll income tax deductions.

You can receive the refund during the current year by applying to the tax office for a reduction in payroll income tax deductions. Your monthly contribution then falls accordingly.

What Jonas contributes in the first year and what he gets back
Contribution before tax including reserves
−€4,844
Tax saving
+€1,430
Principal repayments, meaning less debt
+€3,285
The bottom line is a shortfall of around €130 a year if principal repayments are counted as wealth. Any change in the flat’s value adds to or subtracts from this.

That is the honest picture. Jonas pays around €285 out of his own pocket every month. At the same time, his debt falls by around €274 a month. Whether that is worthwhile depends on two things no calculation can predict: how the rent and the flat’s value develop over the years.

07How your own capital changes the calculation

Many investors ask whether contributing more of their own capital makes the calculation work. Let us calculate the same flat with a 20% deposit, meaning €43,000 in addition to the purchase costs.

Full purchase-price financing or a 20% deposit (first full year)
Full purchase-price financing20% deposit
Own capital invested€14,569€57,569
Loan€215,000€172,000
Monthly payment€985€788
Tax saving per year€1,430€788
Cash flow after tax per month−€285−€141
Principal repaid per year€3,285€2,628
Annual result including principal repayments−€129+€937

With a deposit, the monthly contribution is halved. The tax saving falls because there is less interest to pay. And the €43,000 is tied up. It could also earn interest elsewhere. Whether committing that money is worthwhile depends on what you would otherwise do with it. There is no universally applicable answer.

08The stress test: what happens if things go worse?

A calculation that only works under normal conditions is no calculation at all. You should always run through three events.

Three stress tests for the fully financed option
Impact in the year concerned
Three months vacant: lost rent−€2,139
Amount recovered through tax+€790
Net cost of vacancy−€1,349
Follow-on financing after 10 years is 1.5 percentage points more expensive (outstanding balance €175,427)−€2,631 per year
Special levy by the owners’ association, e.g. for the roofAmount specified in the resolution, one-off
Our own calculation, as at 14 October 2026. The interest rate change is an assumption, not a forecast.

Three months of vacancy cost Jonas around €1,350 net. Follow-on financing at an interest rate 1.5 percentage points higher costs him just over €2,600 more in interest every year, or around €220 a month. Together, the two would more than double his monthly contribution. You should therefore plan for a cash reserve that covers at least several monthly loan payments.

09Who a flat like this might suit

May be suitable
  • You have a stable income and can sustain the monthly contribution over the long term
  • Your tax rate is high enough for depreciation to have a noticeable effect
  • You have a 15- to 20-year horizon and want to build wealth through principal repayments
  • You have a reserve for vacancy and repairs
Probably unsuitable
  • You need a surplus before tax from the first month
  • Your budget cannot accommodate a monthly contribution of €300 to €400
  • You are relying on capital appreciation to make the purchase worthwhile
  • You have no reserve for a special levy

Anyone seeking positive cash flow before tax needs a different ratio of rent to purchase price, such as a lower purchase price multiplier, or more of their own capital. That is a question of the property, not the calculation.

10Risks and limitations of the calculation

  • Vacancy. Every month without a tenant hits cash flow in full; only part is recovered through tax.
  • Interest rates. Once the fixed-rate period ends, follow-on financing may be more expensive. The calculation above shows what 1.5 percentage points mean.
  • Maintenance. Special levies by the owners’ association and repairs inside the flat can exceed the reserves.
  • Tax law. Depreciation rules and tax rates can change. Your tax rate may fall in retirement, making depreciation less effective.
  • Resale. Whether you will be able to sell the flat later, and at what price, remains uncertain. The calculation above deliberately excludes capital appreciation.
  • Assumptions. Every figure in this example is an assumption. Your calculation needs your figures: tenancy agreement, owners’ association budget, bank offer, tax assessment notice.

11Further reading

12Sources

All sources accessed on 14 October 2026.

  • § 32a EStG (2026 income tax schedule), § 7 EStG (depreciation)
  • BFH, Urteil vom 14.01.2025, IX R 19/24 (maintenance reserve deductible as income-related expenses only when spent)
  • § 34 GNotKG und Anlage 2 (notary and land registry fees)
  • Lower Saxony Act on the Rate of Property Transfer Tax, rate of 5.0% since 1 January 2014
  • Schwäbisch Hall, current mortgage interest rates (as at 27 September 2026): https://www.schwaebisch-hall.de/bauen-kaufen/baufinanzierung/bauzinsen-aktuell.html
  • Illustrative calculation: our own calculation, as at 14 October 2026

Note: This guide provides general information and is not a substitute for tax or legal advice. All figures are illustrative calculations with disclosed assumptions, not a forecast, as at 14 October 2026.

FAQHäufige Fragen

What is a property investment viability assessment?

An investment calculation that brings together the purchase price, associated costs, financing, ongoing costs and tax. It shows how much money you need to contribute upfront and each month, and what is left before and after tax.

Which metrics belong in an investment viability assessment?

The purchase price multiplier and gross and net rental yields are the starting point. The decisive figures are cash flow before tax, cash flow after tax and principal repayments. A stress test covering vacancy and higher interest rates is also essential.

What is a good purchase price multiplier?

There is no fixed threshold. The higher the multiplier, the less rent you receive per euro of purchase price. In the example with a multiplier of 25, a flat with its purchase price fully financed does not pay for itself from rent at an interest rate of 4.0%.

How do I calculate the cash flow of a rental flat?

Net rent excluding service charges, minus non-recoverable building charges, minus the loan payment comprising interest and principal, minus your own reserves. That gives you cash flow before tax. Then add the tax impact of interest, depreciation and deductible income-related expenses.

Why do principal repayments not count as a cost?

Because repaying the principal reduces your debt. The money leaves your account, but your net wealth does not fall. Principal repayments are therefore not tax-deductible, whereas interest is.

Which tax rate should I use?

Your personal marginal tax rate under § 32a EStG, not a flat assumed rate. With taxable income of €60,000, a rental loss of around €3,770 produces a tax saving of €1,430 in 2026.

How much should I allow for maintenance?

For a flat in a jointly owned building, allow for two items: the reserve contribution specified in the owners’ association’s annual budget and your own reserve for the flat. The appropriate size of your own reserve depends on the age and condition of the bathroom, flooring and technical installations.

Should I factor in capital appreciation?

No, not as a fixed assumption. Future property values are uncertain. A calculation that only works with capital appreciation carries an additional risk.